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Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.US President-elect Trump issued a document saying that the resignation of Christopher Babers, director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), is a great day for the United States, accusing the FBI under his leadership of illegal actions, such as illegal search of his home, illegal impeachment and prosecution, which undermined the future of the United States. At the same time, it is believed that Kash Patel is the most qualified candidate to lead the FBI, and he is expected to confirm his leadership position to make the FBI great again. He also said that grassroots FBI personnel and the American people also hope to see these changes.Brazilian farmers' lobby demanded the lifting of the ban on planting soybeans in the deforested Amazon rainforest. A Brazilian farmers' lobby is seeking to terminate a 20-year-old agreement that prohibits grain traders from buying soybeans from deforested farms in the Amazon rainforest, claiming that the agreement has created an unfair competition environment. Aprosoja-MT, a soybean farmers' lobbying organization located in western Mato Grosso, said on Wednesday that the agreement encouraged "purchasing cartels" and harmed the interests of farmers who strictly abide by the forest laws of South American countries. The statement said that it had formally asked the anti-monopoly watchdog CADE to terminate the agreement.

Japanese and Korean stock markets opened higher, with the Nikkei 225 index rising 1.21% to 39,849.97. South Korea's KOSPI index rose 0.6% to 2,456.63.The US dollar just broke through the 7.2700 yuan mark against the offshore RMB, and the latest price was 7.2698 yuan, down 0.10% in the day.Rosario Grain Exchange: Argentina's wheat production in 2024/25 is estimated to be 19.3 million tons, compared with the previous estimate of 18.8 million tons.

Huichuan Technology: The company has made great efforts to broaden the products and applications of six-axis robots, and the six-axis robots with small loads have achieved mass sales. Huichuan Technology said on the interactive platform that the company has made great efforts to broaden the products and applications of six-axis robots, and the six-axis robots with small loads have achieved mass sales, and the six-axis robots with medium and large loads have begun to form mass sales.On the occasion of Yin Xiyue's speech, the increase of KOSPI index in South Korea narrowed to 0.3%, and it rose by 1.1% earlier.MediaTek will enter the supply chain of Apple's main hardware products for the first time. It is reported that Apple intends to significantly upgrade the functions of Apple Watch next year, and ask MediaTek for help. MediaTek will provide some new data computer chips of Apple Watch to share the orders originally supplied by Intel. This is the first time that MediaTek has entered Apple's main hardware product supply chain. In this regard, MediaTek said that he would not comment on the relevant order information. (Taiwan Province Economic Daily)